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In Pakistan, politicisation refers to political intervention by the military; most visible recently in the manner it has sponsored the hold-up of the Nawaz Sharif government. Whereas in Pakistan, politicisation of the military is furtherance of institutional interest of the military disguised as national interest; in India, politicisation of security is the use of security issues and its instruments for the political purposes of the ruling party. It shall be demonstrated ahead that this can culminate in development of symbiotic relations between the ruling party, one mediated by its leader, and the military. Both profit from a certain direction in security, and therefore can forge a sustainable, invisible bond. The ruling party's defining of national security through its ideological lens can over time infiltrate the military, making for loss in professionalism i.e., the politicisation of the military. This is reverse of the Pakistan case in which the military interferes with politics. The army's upping-the-ante on the border cannot be taken amiss. It was in response to increasing ceasefire violations and on provocative action in which it lost a soldier to an IED attack in early October. The last army chief had already made it clear that he expects vigorous tactical action on the Line of Control (LoC0. The current army chief on taking over made a pledge not to have a repeat of the beheading incident of January last year. With the new right wing government having given the go-ahead for a robust response, the army is only following through on what has been long advertised. Would the case have been different in case there had been any other government at Delhi? The military's tactical level reaction to provocation has unlikely been in question. The previous government broke off the talks owing to the LoC incident and did not resume them due to policy paralysis thereafter suggests it would have been amenable to a vigourous response. In the event, it was not tested. Certainly, the state of talks with Pakistan would have impacted the firing on the LoC, in that not only would Pakistan have likely not been provocative, but India may have been more restrained. However, the last government had given the go-ahead for tactical trading of ordnance as the army thought fit, but with the caveat that this should not impact the strategic level moves. Therefore, there would have been no lack in a 'befitting reply' at the tactical level, even if escalation would have been ruled out. This time escalation has been ruled in. In so far as this can be strategically rationalised, it makes sense. Firstly, India having broken off talks abruptly needed a fig leaf. The border incidents provided the alibi and its recent escalation enable India to blame Pakistan for continuing to be difficult. Secondly, that the escalation was soon after return of the PM and NSA from the US suggests an AfPak angle alongside. The messaging to Pakistan, with tacit US imprimatur, is that India be a minder in the region in case Pakistan does not play ball in the unfolding US strategy in Afghanistan. Lastly, Pakistan's military by unsettling Sharif made it amply clear that it calls the shots on the India policy. With Mr. Modi's opening gambit coming to naught, the escalation is India's reply. However the timing of the escalation in relation to internal politics cannot be ignored. The ruling party had received a warning of a waning Modi wave in the bye-elections across the country. With significant states going to the polls, its internal political mobilisation strategy of using the internal 'Other', India's minority, as bogeyman was not enough, the 'love jihad' trope notwithstanding. Mr. Modi to facilitate his US trip had made placatory statements including acknowledging Muslims are ready to die for their country. The external 'Other' lent itself better for internal political use. This explains the manner Mr. Modi has used the army's response on the LoC to project his image as strongman. Questioning security policy is a duty for the opposition. By no means is questioning security policy casting of aspersion on the military. It is an absurd notion to have a consensus on security policy in a democratic society. There are multiple ways to achieve security. The government's manner of doing so is not necessarily the only or right one. Therefore, the charge made by the BJP that questioning by the opposition amounts to demoralising the force is itself politicisation. This amounts to the politicisation of security and one done by the ruling party for its short term political ends. What are the consequences for knock-on politicisation of the military? In so far that the military is currently carrying out faithfully the order of the government, its action is unexceptionable. To call for the targeting to have taken into account collateral damage as a factor is trite in light of the manner collateral damage is increasingly being interpreted in light of operations in the Middle East, including the Israeli one in Gaza. However, of consequence is in case the military develops the notion that here is a government that delivers, that does not keep it on leash and one that allows the military strategic space otherwise constricted by diplomatic dynamics. This has to be read alongside the manner defence ministry is being left without a minister. The nominal oversight by the finance minister has been subject to his good health. The military's key grouse, that it is second guessed by the bureaucrats, is likely much eased. There is considerable largesse coming its way in terms of armament infusion with major initiatives by the government such as opening up the defence sector further to foreign investment and its proximity to the US as an arms source. The political use of the military enhances its profile, both in relation to the ruling party and in the voting public. All this can tend to inflate the military's self perception, thereby increasing political propensity, latent in any military. Weak indicators are already on offer on the way the wind blows. The military has unnecessarily offered its services for cleaning the Ganga, visualising 40 officers under a retired general assisting the minister, Uma Bharati. It was needlessly on the front pages in the Swach Bharat campaign in cleaning up its cantonments. Even if the contrast in the response of the army and the administration in J&K to the floods has been stark, the army's placing of the spotlight on itself was at the expense of the administration. With the BJP making a strong bid for J&K, if Mr. Amit Shah is to be believed, this was unfortunate in terms of timing in that the army has albeit coincidentally improved the chances of the BJP. It could have moderated such an outcome by keeping the focus on the state government and projecting itself as in support to the state government, which is the correct legal position and is normally the case. The PM promised the situation will soon subside. The timing is also suggestive of internal politics. With the harvest from the forthcoming elections behind him, the PM can be expected to revert to his grandstanding on the regional stage, with the SAARC gathering in Kathmandu providing an opportunity. He will project that he and the army have 'shut up' the Pakistani military. The potential for identification of the military with the PM, and at one remove his party, therefore exists. This is the knock-on consequence of the politicisation of security that bears watching. (Firdaus Ahmed's commentaries are available as a free ebook Think South Asia: A Stand for Peace, for download at www.subcontinentalmusings.blogspot.in.) |
The blog takes a stand for peace. It comprises my epublications on strategic affairs and peace studies issues in South Asia. Views expressed are personal. My three books Think South Asia; Subcontinental Musings and South Asia: In it Togehter, with my published commentaries can be downloaded free from the links provided and hard copies from http://cinnamonteal.in/authors/firdaus-ahmed/. @firdyahmed. Firdaus Ahmed is the pen name of Ali Ahmed.
Wednesday, October 15, 2014
politicisation of security
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